MLB Home Run Derby power rankings: Will Phillies stars reign in Philly?

PHILADELPHIA — The roars of Broad Street will be put to the test in this Home Run Derby.

How much does homefield advantage matter? We’ll surely find out Monday, July 13, when Philadelphia Phillies superstars Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber lead an eight-man field into the 2026 version of this made-for-TV spectacular.

Harper and Schwarber know each other quite well in this context: It was Harper defeating Schwarber in the finals of the 2018 Derby at Nationals Park, Harper’s final season in Washington. This time, it might be Schwarber with the upper hand, given the major league-high 88 home runs he’s spanked since the start of the 2025 season.

Who raises the trophy? USA TODAY Sports breaks down the eight contenders for Derby glory:

1. Kyle Schwarber, Phillies

Look, home-field advantage does matter, given the knowledge of your own yard’s nooks and crannies. And Citizens Bank Park has its share – though very hitter friendly, there are a few gaps and straightaways you wanna stay away from. It’s an easy bet to say Schwarber has more power, local knowledge and solid Derby experience to top this field.

2. Bryce Harper, Phillies

We originally had Harper slotted third, but that was before Harper revealed his Derby pitcher: Los Angeles Dodgers third base coach Dino Ebel. Dino’s not just a father of back-to-back Brewers babies; he’s also a batting practice and Derby pitching wizard.

Ebel guided Hall of Famer Vladimir Guerrero to the title, and he did so again two years ago for Dodgers outfielder Teoscar Hernández. The man understands pacing and timing and knows how to spot it. While Harper claimed he’d only swing off his dad – his pitcher for the dramatic 2018 title over Schwarber – we’re saying Ebel is an even better match.

3. Junior Caminero, Rays

Possibly the only man in the field who can prevent a Philly championship. Caminero was just 22 years old a year ago, when he nearly became the youngest player to win a Derby. Alas, he ran out of gas in the finals, mustering 15 homers to fall to Cal Raleigh.

He did manage 44 home runs, averaging 435 feet in distance (thank you, super balls), including 21 in the first round. And nobody comes in hotter, as Caminero slugged 13 homers in the last 19 games of the first half.

4. Jac Caglianone, Royals

Perhaps someone will emerge and surprise us all, but the drop-off from three to four in this field feels pretty massive. While Caglianone has just 14 homers, the 6-4, 250-pound second-year slugger has perhaps the most raw power this side of Schwarber. Getting to it in games is always the last step for a young power hitter, but nothing’s stopping Cags from putting on a show here.

5. Munetaka Murakami, White Sox

You cannot downplay the 20 home runs Murakami hit in his first 55 major league games, including the first three of his career. It’s probably the most underplayed feat of this first half, given the significant doubts and contact worries that accompanied Murakami to Japan.

Alas, he suffered a hamstring injury shortly thereafter, missing six weeks and returning just three days ago. It’s Murakami’s first big-league season and his first All-Star Game and Home Run Derby, and he hasn’t hit a home run that counts since May 28. A lot for one dude to handle – but it will be fascinating to see him take to the spotlight.

6. Ben Rice, Yankees

Don’t look now, but this dude has overtaken Caminero for second in the AL in home runs, smashing 29 during a first half in which the Yankees have aimed to stay afloat without Aaron Judge. His lefty stroke would seem tailored for the cozy right field corner at Citizens Bank, and he’s aiming to become the first Yankee to take home the Derby title since Judge in 2017.

Yet this is an entirely different sea he’s swimming in here and like Murakami, this will be his first exposure to the All-Star rigamarole. A nice dark horse pick, but will see if he has the juice to hang.

7. Willson Contreras, Red Sox

Hey, why not? Now 34, Contreras may not get too many more cracks at the All-Star Game, so might as well cross of the Derby on his career to-do list.

Contreras has ripped 20 homers this year, though his career high is just 24, established when he was 27 years old in 2019. Can Contreras outkick the back of his baseball card?

8. Jordan Walker, Cardinals

Fun fact: Walker is more than a year older than Caminero, even as he seems like the new guy on the block in this group. Yet it took four tries for Walker to stick in the majors, making him one of the more compelling stories among the group of All-Stars.

He scorched 22 first-half homers and leads the majors with 74 RBIs. Yet the key to the Derby is knowing thyself and applying your strengths to this format. Walker's absolutely figured it out on the field, but performing under this spotlight is a different animal.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: MLB Home Run Derby power rankings: Will Phillies stars reign in Philly?