Win probability for every game on the Panthers' 2026 schedule

While the travel and the rest may be on their side, the Carolina Panthers shouldn't have it too easy during the 2026 campaign.

The NFL's entire upcoming regular-season schedule was officially announced this past Thursday. And to try and forecast the possible results of said slate, ESPN's Mike Clay calculated each team's win probability for every one of their respective games.

Unfortunately for the reigning NFC South champions, the numbers don't look too great . . .

• Week 1 vs. Chicago Bears: 41 percent
• Week 2 at Atlanta Falcons: 48 percent
• Week 3 at Cleveland Browns: 47 percent
• Week 4 vs. Detroit Lions: 30 percent
• Week 5: Bye
• Week 6 at Philadelphia Eagles: 18 percent
• Week 7 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 43 percent
• Week 8 at Green Bay Packers: 25 percent
• Week 9 vs. Denver Broncos: 29 percent
• Week 10 at New Orleans Saints: 43 percent
• Week 11 vs. Baltimore Ravens: 29 percent
• Week 12 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 28 percent
• Week 13 at Minnesota Vikings: 38 percent
• Week 14 vs. New Orleans Saints: 58 percent
• Week 15 vs. Cincinnati Bengals: 37 percent
• Week 16 at Pittsburgh Steelers: 30 percent
• Week 17 vs. Seattle Seahawks: 26 percent
• Week 18 vs. Atlanta Falcons: 63 percent

Per Clay, the Panthers have over a 50-percent chance to win in just two of their outings—Week 14 against New Orleans and Week 18 against Atlanta. They sit at 30 percent or lower in eight of their 17 contests.

That may be not surprising to many, as Carolina is facing one of the toughest schedule, at least according to projected win totals, of the season. So if they hope to finish atop the division once again, they'll have to beat the odds—quite a few times, in fact.

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This article originally appeared on Panthers Wire: Panthers schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026