Broncos Land Unexpectedly Low in ESPN's Preseason Power Rankings

As the NFL offseason continues, anticipation for the upcoming season is building, and power rankings are making headlines. In a surprising revelation, ESPN has released its preseason Football Power Index (FPI), placing the Denver Broncos at a disappointing No. 15, positioning them just above the league's midpoint. This ranking raises eyebrows, especially for a team many consider a strong contender for the 2026 season.

To understand the FPI, ESPN's Seth Walder explains that it combines various factors, including win totals influenced by betting markets and each team's schedule. The index also considers quarterback depth and special teams performance. The preseason rankings are derived from simulations that project outcomes for the season, while in-season ratings adjust based on actual performance across different facets of the game.

The Broncos find themselves in a precarious spot, with seven AFC teams—Buffalo, Baltimore, Los Angeles, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Houston, and New England—ranked above them. If these projections hold true, it suggests that the Broncos might miss out on the playoffs next year. The rankings have sparked debate, as many analysts struggle to pinpoint the team's weaknesses despite their solid roster.

Walder points out that while Denver enjoyed success last season, finishing with a 12-3 record in close games, this level of performance may not be sustainable. He notes that regression is a concern, particularly given the team's reliance on a stellar defense that may not perform as well as in 2025. Additionally, the health of quarterback Bo Nix, who underwent a second ankle surgery in April, adds another layer of uncertainty.

The Broncos are likely to face scrutiny regarding their luck in one-score games, suggesting that critics believe they benefited from favorable circumstances last season. Despite these concerns, the Broncos, like other teams, will need to prove their worth on the field rather than through statistical projections. As the season approaches, they will have ample opportunity to challenge these rankings and showcase their potential.