Chargers schedule: Win probability for every game in 2026 season
The Chargers face a tough schedule this year. It ranks as the ninth-hardest in the league. Their opponents combined for a .522 winning percentage last season. How do the analytics believe 2026 will play out for the Bolts?
ESPN’s Mike Clay shared win-probability projections for every game on the Chargers' schedule, and they have a 50% chance or better in 11 games.
Take a look at their win probability for each game below.
- Week 1 vs Arizona Cardinals: 87%
- Week 2 vs Las Vegas Raiders: 84%
- Week 3 at Buffalo Bills: 41%
- Week 4 at Seattle Seahawks: 32%
- Week 5 vs Denver Broncos: 51%
- Week 6 at Kansas City Chiefs: 42%
- Week 7: BYE
- Week 8 at Los Angeles Rams: 19%
- Week 9 vs Houston Texans: 61%
- Week 10 at Baltimore Ravens: 36%
- Week 11 vs New York Jets: 77%
- Week 12 vs New England Patriots: 58%
- Week 13 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 50%
- Week 14 at Las Vegas Raiders: 71%
- Week 15 vs San Francisco 49ers: 59%
- Week 16 at Miami Dolphins: 85%
- Week 17 vs Kansas City Chiefs: 57%
- Week 18 at Denver Broncos: 36%
- Projected wins: 9.5
This article originally appeared on Chargers Wire: Chargers' win probability for every game on 2026 schedule
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